La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fluminense-RJ v Club Bolívar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Predicción 79.00%1.27momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -2.97%
Kelly -16.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.08%78.93%78.98%81.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.45%85.47%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Club Bolívar (Visitante)
Predicción 6.63%15.09momio equitativo
EV +12.67%
Ventaja +0.745%
Kelly +0.792%
Crecimiento +0.100%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.37%6.68%6.56%8.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.0014.6215.0017.009.09%6.84%6.67%5.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 14.38%6.96momio equitativo
EV +7.82%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.094%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.56%14.40%14.45%17.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.606.507.5018.52%15.16%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.30%EV -5.84%E -0.891%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 16.10I 6.21%NM 5.91%EV +6.71%E +0.417%K +0.444%G +0.030% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.74%EV -7.13%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.76%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 21:20 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 20:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| GTbets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 14.70I 6.80%NM 6.40%EV -2.57%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -2.24%E -0.330%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -10.87%E -1.75%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 21:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.13%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 13.86I 7.22%NM 6.82%EV -8.14%E -0.587%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.05%EV -9.72%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-19 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-19 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.22%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.00%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -23.78%E -2.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.14%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-19 21:49 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.49%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.79% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.79% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.48% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73% | 1.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |