A Escola das Odds

Fluminense-RJ v Club Bolívar

Início: 2026-05-19 22:00 UTC

Final: Fluminense-RJ 2–1 Club Bolívar

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fluminense-RJ (Local)

Previsão 79.00%1.27odd justa
EV -3.63%
Vantagem -2.97%
Kelly -16.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.08%78.93%78.98%81.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.45%85.47%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Club Bolívar (Visitante)

Previsão 6.63%15.09odd justa
EV +12.67%
Vantagem +0.745%
Kelly +0.792%
Crescimento +0.100%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.37%6.68%6.56%8.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0014.6215.0017.009.09%6.84%6.67%5.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 14.38%6.96odd justa
EV +7.82%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescimento +0.094%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.56%14.40%14.45%17.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.406.606.507.5018.52%15.16%15.38%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094%3.2%2026-05-19 21:40
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.39%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094%3.2%2026-05-19 21:40
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094%5.4%2026-05-19 21:50
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:10
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094%6.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094%6.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094%6.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +7.82%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.094%6.2%2026-05-19 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -9.15%E -7.96%K -61.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%7.1%2026-05-19 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%9.5%2026-05-19 21:50
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%9.5%2026-05-19 21:50
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV +12.67%E +0.745%K +0.792%G +0.100%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%9.5%2026-05-19 21:50
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029%5.3%2026-05-19 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.15%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029%5.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.67%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.30%EV -5.84%E -0.891%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 21:50
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 21:40
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +9.36%E +0.567%K +0.604%G +0.057%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -22.37%E -4.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 21:40
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000%16.10I 6.21%NM 5.91%EV +6.71%E +0.417%K +0.444%G +0.030%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.74%EV -7.13%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-19 18:10
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.76%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 21:20
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:40
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:40
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 20:10
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV -0.583%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 17:30
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%14.70I 6.80%NM 6.40%EV -2.57%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -2.24%E -0.330%K -0.386%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.634%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-19 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Suprabets1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -5.99%E -5.04%K -31.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.21%E -0.515%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -10.87%E -1.75%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 21:39
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.13%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.02%G +0.000%13.86I 7.22%NM 6.82%EV -8.14%E -0.587%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.05%EV -9.72%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 21:40
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 21:50
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.78%E -5.75%K -37.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 18:10
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-19 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.22%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -13.84%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-19 17:30
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 21:50
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.20%E -4.34%K -26.02%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV +4.23%E +0.583%K +0.677%G +0.029%9.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.94%E -8.72%K -71.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.00%EV -8.36%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -23.78%E -2.07%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.14%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 21:49
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 17:20
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 78.49%EV -11.52%E -10.29%K -96.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -27.09%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.79%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%0.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%0.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.79%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.48%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73%1.5%2026-05-19 21:50