Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flamengo-RJ v Cusco FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Final: Flamengo-RJ 3–0 Cusco FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flamengo-RJ (Local)

Prediction 84.31%1.19fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -20.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.76%84.41%84.07%87.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.111.111.1594.34%90.42%90.09%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cusco FC (Visit)

Prediction 5.32%18.80fair odd
EV +32.87%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.451%

assuming max odds 24.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.82%5.39%5.42%7.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0017.1917.0024.988.33%5.82%5.88%4.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.37%9.64fair odd
EV +20.32%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.390%

assuming max odds 11.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.24%10.20%10.51%11.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.249.0011.6012.90%10.82%11.11%8.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flamengo-RJ (Local): 84.31%; Cusco FC (Visit): 5.32%; Draw: 10.37%. For Cusco FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.80. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 24.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.56%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%24.98I 4.00%NM 3.82%EV +32.87%E +1.32%K +1.37%G +0.451%11.07I 9.03%NM 8.62%EV +14.82%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.218%4.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.89%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 00:00
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.86%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%5.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.41%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -14.95%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -10.63%E -10.03%K -177.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.24%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.42%EV -10.91%E -0.651%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.92%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.60%EV -14.89%E -0.931%K -0.993%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.48%EV -19.10%E -2.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.24%EV +20.32%E +1.75%K +1.92%G +0.390%4.6%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.59%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.28%EV -22.87%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:19
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.89%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.03%EV -29.52%E -2.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.08%EV +6.32%E +0.616%K +0.683%G +0.043%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 81.94%EV -9.79%E -9.15%K -139.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.74%EV -30.85%E -2.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -19.61%E -2.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.41%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.66%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-05-27 00:20