La escuela de los momios

Flamengo-RJ v Cusco FC

Inicio: 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Final: Flamengo-RJ 3–0 Cusco FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Flamengo-RJ (Local)

Predicción 84.31%1.19momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -2.65%
Kelly -20.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.76%84.41%84.07%87.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.111.111.1594.34%90.42%90.09%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cusco FC (Visitante)

Predicción 5.32%18.80momio equitativo
EV +32.87%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.451%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 24.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.82%5.39%5.42%7.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
12.0017.1917.0024.988.33%5.82%5.88%4.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 10.37%9.64momio equitativo
EV +20.32%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.390%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.24%10.20%10.51%11.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.249.0011.6012.90%10.82%11.11%8.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 87.56%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%24.98I 4.00%NM 3.82%EV +32.87%E +1.32%K +1.37%G +0.451%11.07I 9.03%NM 8.62%EV +14.82%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.218%4.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.89%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 00:00
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.86%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%5.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 23:30
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.41%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -14.95%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -10.63%E -10.03%K -177.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.24%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.42%EV -10.91%E -0.651%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.92%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.60%EV -14.89%E -0.931%K -0.993%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.48%EV -19.10%E -2.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.24%EV +20.32%E +1.75%K +1.92%G +0.390%4.6%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 15:19
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.59%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.28%EV -22.87%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:19
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.89%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.03%EV -29.52%E -2.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.08%EV +6.32%E +0.616%K +0.683%G +0.043%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 81.94%EV -9.79%E -9.15%K -139.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.74%EV -30.85%E -2.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -19.61%E -2.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.41%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.66%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-05-27 00:20