A Escola das Odds

Flamengo-RJ v Cusco FC

Início: 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Final: Flamengo-RJ 3–0 Cusco FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Flamengo-RJ (Local)

Previsão 84.31%1.19odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -2.65%
Kelly -20.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.76%84.41%84.07%87.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.061.111.111.1594.34%90.42%90.09%86.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cusco FC (Visitante)

Previsão 5.32%18.80odd justa
EV +32.87%
Vantagem +1.32%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.451%

pressupondo odds máximas de 24.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.82%5.39%5.42%7.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
12.0017.1917.0024.988.33%5.82%5.88%4.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 10.37%9.64odd justa
EV +20.32%
Vantagem +1.75%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescimento +0.390%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.24%10.20%10.51%11.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.759.249.0011.6012.90%10.82%11.11%8.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 87.56%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%24.98I 4.00%NM 3.82%EV +32.87%E +1.32%K +1.37%G +0.451%11.07I 9.03%NM 8.62%EV +14.82%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.218%4.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.89%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 00:00
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.86%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%5.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 23:30
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.41%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -14.95%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -10.63%E -10.03%K -177.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.24%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.42%EV -10.91%E -0.651%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.92%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.60%EV -14.89%E -0.931%K -0.993%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.48%EV -19.10%E -2.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.24%EV +20.32%E +1.75%K +1.92%G +0.390%4.6%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 15:19
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.59%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.28%EV -22.87%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:19
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.89%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.03%EV -29.52%E -2.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.08%EV +6.32%E +0.616%K +0.683%G +0.043%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 81.94%EV -9.79%E -9.15%K -139.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.74%EV -30.85%E -2.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -19.61%E -2.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.41%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.66%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-05-27 00:20