L’École des cotes

Flamengo-RJ v Cusco FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Score final : Flamengo-RJ 3–0 Cusco FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flamengo-RJ (Local)

Prévision 84.31%1.19cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -20.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.76%84.41%84.07%87.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.111.111.1594.34%90.42%90.09%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cusco FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.32%18.80cote équitable
EV +32.87%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.451%

avec la cote maximale 24.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.82%5.39%5.42%7.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.0017.1917.0024.988.33%5.82%5.88%4.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 10.37%9.64cote équitable
EV +20.32%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.390%

avec la cote maximale 11.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.24%10.20%10.51%11.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.249.0011.6012.90%10.82%11.11%8.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 87.56%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%24.98I 4.00%NM 3.82%EV +32.87%E +1.32%K +1.37%G +0.451%11.07I 9.03%NM 8.62%EV +14.82%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.218%4.8%2026-05-27 00:20
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +11.70%E +0.557%K +0.585%G +0.068%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 86.44%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +6.38%E +0.319%K +0.336%G +0.021%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +8.91%E +0.849%K +0.938%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV -1.46%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +1.06%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -4.26%E -0.236%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:20
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.89%EV -4.73%E -4.19%K -36.39%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 00:00
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.86%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +14.10%E +1.28%K +1.41%G +0.199%5.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 23:30
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.41%EV -7.26%E -6.60%K -72.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -14.95%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -10.63%E -10.03%K -177.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -9.58%E -0.563%K -0.598%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.24%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.42%EV -10.91%E -0.651%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.92%EV -8.95%E -8.28%K -111.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.60%EV -14.89%E -0.931%K -0.993%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.48%EV -19.10%E -2.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.57%E -4.98%K -46.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.24%EV +20.32%E +1.75%K +1.92%G +0.390%4.6%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 00:20
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -20.21%E -1.35%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -17.02%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 15:19
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.59%EV -8.10%E -7.43%K -90.04%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.28%EV -22.87%E -1.58%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.65%E -0.739%K -0.831%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:19
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -3.89%E -3.41%K -27.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -25.53%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +3.72%E +0.372%K +0.414%G +0.015%4.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.89%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.03%EV -29.52%E -2.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.08%EV +6.32%E +0.616%K +0.683%G +0.043%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 81.94%EV -9.79%E -9.15%K -139.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.74%EV -30.85%E -2.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -19.61%E -2.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.42%E -5.78%K -58.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -36.17%E -3.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -11.83%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.53%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.41%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.66%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-05-27 00:20