Language:English
Estudiantes La Plata v Independiente Medellín
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes La Plata (Local)
Prediction 53.85%1.86fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.25%53.85%53.93%56.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.59%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Medellín (Visit)
Prediction 18.91%5.29fair odd
EV +8.72%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.80%18.88%18.82%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.065.005.7523.26%19.75%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV +0.778%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.288%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.34%27.27%27.24%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.453.7031.25%29.29%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes La Plata (Local): 53.85%; Independiente Medellín (Visit): 18.91%; Draw: 27.24%. For Independiente Medellín (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.66%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.99%E +0.726%K +0.888%G +0.035% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-27 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV +0.969%E +0.182%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.93%EV -3.03%E -0.853%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.05%EV -0.543%E -0.103%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.05%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 00:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.95%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.85%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.22%EV -3.19%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.58%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.97%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -3.57%E -0.700%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-26 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.22%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.41%EV -9.57%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.39%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -12.08%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.42%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.70%E -4.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.88% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |