مدرسة الاحتمالات

Estudiantes La Plata v Independiente Medellín

البداية: 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Independiente Medellín

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Estudiantes La Plata (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.85%1.86السعر العادل
EV -4.68%
الأفضلية -2.64%
Kelly -6.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.25%53.85%53.93%56.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.59%58.48%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Independiente Medellín (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.91%5.29السعر العادل
EV +8.72%
الأفضلية +1.52%
Kelly +1.84%
النمو +0.160%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.80%18.88%18.82%20.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.305.065.005.7523.26%19.75%20.00%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.24%3.67السعر العادل
EV +0.778%
الأفضلية +0.210%
Kelly +0.288%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.34%27.27%27.24%28.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.413.453.7031.25%29.29%28.99%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.6%2026-05-27 00:10
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.6%2026-05-27 00:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 00:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:09
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.66%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.99%E +0.726%K +0.888%G +0.035%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 00:10
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:10
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:09
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV +0.969%E +0.182%K +0.223%G +0.002%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.93%EV -3.03%E -0.853%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.05%EV -0.543%E -0.103%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.05%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 23:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 23:50
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 00:19
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.95%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 00:15
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.85%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.22%EV -3.19%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.58%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 23:30
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.97%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -3.57%E -0.700%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 23:29
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 00:09
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-26 23:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.22%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.41%EV -9.57%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.39%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -12.08%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.42%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.70%E -4.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-27 00:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20