Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Estudiantes La Plata v Independiente Medellín

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Score final : Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Independiente Medellín

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Estudiantes La Plata (Local)

Prévision 53.85%1.86cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -6.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.25%53.85%53.93%56.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.59%58.48%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Independiente Medellín (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.91%5.29cote équitable
EV +8.72%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.160%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.80%18.88%18.82%20.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.305.065.005.7523.26%19.75%20.00%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.24%3.67cote équitable
EV +0.778%
Avantage +0.210%
Kelly +0.288%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.34%27.27%27.24%28.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.453.7031.25%29.29%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Estudiantes La Plata (Local) : 53.85% ; Independiente Medellín (Visiteur) : 18.91% ; Match nul : 27.24%. Pour Independiente Medellín (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.29. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +8.72%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.6%2026-05-27 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.6%2026-05-27 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:10
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:09
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.66%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.99%E +0.726%K +0.888%G +0.035%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:09
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV +0.969%E +0.182%K +0.223%G +0.002%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.93%EV -3.03%E -0.853%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.05%EV -0.543%E -0.103%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.05%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 23:50
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 00:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.95%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Suprabets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.85%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.22%EV -3.19%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.58%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.97%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -3.57%E -0.700%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 23:29
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 00:09
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-26 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.22%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.41%EV -9.57%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.39%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -12.08%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.42%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.70%E -4.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20