A Escola das Odds

Estudiantes La Plata v Independiente Medellín

Início: 2026-05-27 00:30 UTC

Final: Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Independiente Medellín

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estudiantes La Plata (Local)

Previsão 53.85%1.86odd justa
EV -4.68%
Vantagem -2.64%
Kelly -6.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.25%53.85%53.93%56.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.59%58.48%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Medellín (Visitante)

Previsão 18.91%5.29odd justa
EV +8.72%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescimento +0.160%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.80%18.88%18.82%20.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.305.065.005.7523.26%19.75%20.00%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.24%3.67odd justa
EV +0.778%
Vantagem +0.210%
Kelly +0.288%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.34%27.27%27.24%28.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.453.7031.25%29.29%28.99%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.6%2026-05-27 00:10
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.69%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +8.72%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.160%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV +0.778%E +0.210%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.6%2026-05-27 00:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 00:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:09
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.89%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.075%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.66%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.99%E +0.726%K +0.888%G +0.035%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 00:10
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:10
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.66%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +2.10%E +0.390%K +0.478%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 00:09
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV +0.969%E +0.182%K +0.223%G +0.002%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.93%EV -3.03%E -0.853%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 00:20
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.05%EV -0.543%E -0.103%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.05%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 23:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.732%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 23:50
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 00:19
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.95%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 00:20
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 00:15
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.68%E -0.323%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.85%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.22%EV -3.19%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.58%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 23:30
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.97%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -3.57%E -0.700%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 23:29
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 00:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 00:09
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-26 23:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 00:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -8.30%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 00:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.24%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 00:10
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.22%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.13%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.41%EV -9.57%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.39%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -12.08%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 00:20
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 00:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.42%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.70%E -4.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.48%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-27 00:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-27 00:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-05-27 00:20