A Escola das Odds

Cusco FC v Flamengo-RJ

Início: 2026-04-09 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cusco FC (Local)

Previsão 20.59%4.86odd justa
EV +13.27%
Vantagem +2.41%
Kelly +2.95%
Crescimento +0.391%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.12%20.38%20.81%22.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.734.605.5025.32%21.14%21.74%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flamengo-RJ (Visitante)

Previsão 51.32%1.95odd justa
EV -4.04%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -4.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.40%51.63%51.16%56.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.761.801.8762.11%56.83%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.09%3.56odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.312%
Kelly +0.432%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.98%27.99%28.03%29.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.343.343.6034.72%29.97%29.94%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-08 23:59
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +11.21%E +2.08%K +2.55%G +0.286%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -15.33%E -9.29%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.9%2026-04-09 00:00
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
PMU (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Pinnacle4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +1.94%E +0.393%K +0.492%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.41%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 00:10
1xBet4.93I 20.28%NM 18.97%EV +1.53%E +0.311%K +0.390%G +0.006%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.15%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:19
LowVig.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:14
BetOnline.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:14
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -1.14%E -0.239%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 00:04
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 23:29
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.66%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.18%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 23:35
Coolbet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -3.20%E -0.682%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -3.09%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 21:49
GTbets4.69I 21.32%NM 20.15%EV -3.41%E -0.727%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.21%EV -7.12%E -3.93%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.63%EV -3.93%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 04:10
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 00:23
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:24
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 17:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:04
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 17:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:19
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 00:24
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 23:30
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 23:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 00:04
theScore Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.62%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.88%EV -14.30%E -8.56%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.50%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-09 00:25
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -11.44%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 22:10
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.69%E -5.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 00:08
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.56%E -3.80%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 22:09
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -18.65%E -4.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.40%EV -10.71%E -6.16%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 22:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-04-09 00:20