Idioma:Español
Cusco FC v Flamengo-RJ
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cusco FC (Local)
Predicción 20.59%4.86momio equitativo
EV +13.27%
Ventaja +2.41%
Kelly +2.95%
Crecimiento +0.391%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.12%20.38%20.81%22.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.734.605.5025.32%21.14%21.74%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visitante)
Predicción 51.32%1.95momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -4.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.40%51.63%51.16%56.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.761.801.8762.11%56.83%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.09%3.56momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.312%
Kelly +0.432%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.98%27.99%28.03%29.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.343.6034.72%29.97%29.94%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cusco FC (Local): 20.59%; Flamengo-RJ (Visitante): 51.32%; Empate: 28.09%. Para Cusco FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.86. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +11.21%E +2.08%K +2.55%G +0.286% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -15.33%E -9.29%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +1.94%E +0.393%K +0.492%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.41%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.93I 20.28%NM 18.97%EV +1.53%E +0.311%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.15%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -1.14%E -0.239%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 00:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.66%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.18%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -3.20%E -0.682%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -3.09%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.15%EV -3.41%E -0.727%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.21%EV -7.12%E -3.93%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.63%EV -3.93%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 04:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 00:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-09 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.62%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.88%EV -14.30%E -8.56%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.50%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-09 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -11.44%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.69%E -5.50%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-09 00:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.56%E -3.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -18.65%E -4.72%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.40%EV -10.71%E -6.16%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-08 22:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |