L’École des cotes

Cusco FC v Flamengo-RJ

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cusco FC (Local)

Prévision 20.59%4.86cote équitable
EV +13.27%
Avantage +2.41%
Kelly +2.95%
Croissance +0.391%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.12%20.38%20.81%22.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.734.605.5025.32%21.14%21.74%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.32%1.95cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.40%51.63%51.16%56.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.761.801.8762.11%56.83%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.09%3.56cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.312%
Kelly +0.432%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.98%27.99%28.03%29.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.343.6034.72%29.97%29.94%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-08 23:59
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +11.21%E +2.08%K +2.55%G +0.286%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -15.33%E -9.29%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.9%2026-04-09 00:00
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
PMU (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Pinnacle4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +1.94%E +0.393%K +0.492%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.41%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 00:10
1xBet4.93I 20.28%NM 18.97%EV +1.53%E +0.311%K +0.390%G +0.006%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.15%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:19
LowVig.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:14
BetOnline.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:14
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -1.14%E -0.239%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 00:04
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 23:29
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.66%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.18%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 23:35
Coolbet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -3.20%E -0.682%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -3.09%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 21:49
GTbets4.69I 21.32%NM 20.15%EV -3.41%E -0.727%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.21%EV -7.12%E -3.93%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.63%EV -3.93%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 04:10
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 00:23
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:24
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 17:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:04
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 17:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:19
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 00:24
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 23:30
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 23:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 00:04
theScore Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.62%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.88%EV -14.30%E -8.56%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.50%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-09 00:25
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -11.44%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 22:10
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.69%E -5.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 00:08
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.56%E -3.80%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 22:09
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -18.65%E -4.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.40%EV -10.71%E -6.16%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 22:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-04-09 00:20