مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cusco FC v Flamengo-RJ

البداية: 2026-04-09 00:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cusco FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.59%4.86السعر العادل
EV +13.27%
الأفضلية +2.41%
Kelly +2.95%
النمو +0.391%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.12%20.38%20.81%22.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.734.605.5025.32%21.14%21.74%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flamengo-RJ (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.32%1.95السعر العادل
EV -4.04%
الأفضلية -2.16%
Kelly -4.64%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.40%51.63%51.16%56.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.761.801.8762.11%56.83%55.56%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.09%3.56السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.312%
Kelly +0.432%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.98%27.99%28.03%29.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.343.343.6034.72%29.97%29.94%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-08 23:59
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +13.27%E +2.41%K +2.95%G +0.391%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -14.82%E -8.93%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +11.21%E +2.08%K +2.55%G +0.286%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -15.33%E -9.29%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV +1.12%E +0.312%K +0.432%G +0.005%6.9%2026-04-09 00:00
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
PMU (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +8.12%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -10.80%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -1.69%E -0.481%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Pinnacle4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +1.94%E +0.393%K +0.492%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.41%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 00:10
1xBet4.93I 20.28%NM 18.97%EV +1.53%E +0.311%K +0.390%G +0.006%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.15%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:19
LowVig.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:14
BetOnline.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -0.115%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 23:14
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -1.14%E -0.239%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 00:04
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 23:29
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.17%E -0.458%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.66%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.18%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 23:35
Coolbet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -3.20%E -0.682%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -3.09%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 21:49
GTbets4.69I 21.32%NM 20.15%EV -3.41%E -0.727%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.21%EV -7.12%E -3.93%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.63%EV -3.93%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 04:10
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 00:23
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 00:24
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 17:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:04
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 17:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:19
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 00:20
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 00:24
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 23:30
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 23:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 00:04
theScore Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.62%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.88%EV -14.30%E -8.56%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.50%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-09 00:25
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -11.44%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 22:10
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.69%E -5.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 00:08
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -15.56%E -3.80%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 22:09
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -18.65%E -4.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.40%EV -10.71%E -6.16%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 22:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-04-09 00:20
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-04-09 00:20