Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 2.47
assuming max odds 3.21
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cusco FC (Local): 30.39%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 39.03%; Draw: 30.58%. For Cusco FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.289%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -0.623%E -0.190%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.32%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -9.45%E -4.08%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -3.66%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.72%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.76%EV -3.99%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.98%EV -2.75%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.17%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -10.65%E -3.62%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.43%E -6.46%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |