A Escola das Odds

Cusco FC v Estudiantes La Plata

Início: 2026-05-06 22:00 UTC

Final: Cusco FC 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cusco FC (Local)

Previsão 30.39%3.29odd justa
EV +0.289%
Vantagem +0.088%
Kelly +0.126%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.07%30.42%30.38%31.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.063.023.3034.72%32.71%33.06%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Estudiantes La Plata (Visitante)

Previsão 39.03%2.56odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.78%39.03%39.04%41.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.372.382.4744.44%42.21%42.02%40.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.58%3.27odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.571%
Kelly -0.830%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.61%30.54%30.58%31.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.033.053.2137.04%32.95%32.73%31.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 21:50
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 21:50
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -0.623%E -0.190%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.32%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:44
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 21:45
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -9.45%E -4.08%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 21:50
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -3.66%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 16:05
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:44
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:35
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:45
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:50
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.72%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 21:55
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.76%EV -3.99%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.98%EV -2.75%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 21:55
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 21:55
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 21:35
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 21:35
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 21:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 21:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 21:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 21:05
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 21:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 21:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:54
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.17%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 21:35
Suprabets2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -10.65%E -3.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 21:45
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 21:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 21:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.43%E -6.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-06 21:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-05-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%2.4%2026-05-06 21:45