La escuela de los momios

Cusco FC v Estudiantes La Plata

Inicio: 2026-05-06 22:00 UTC

Final: Cusco FC 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cusco FC (Local)

Predicción 30.39%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.289%
Ventaja +0.088%
Kelly +0.126%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.42%30.38%31.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.063.023.3034.72%32.71%33.06%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Estudiantes La Plata (Visitante)

Predicción 39.03%2.56momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%39.03%39.04%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.382.4744.44%42.21%42.02%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.58%3.27momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -0.830%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%30.54%30.58%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.033.053.2137.04%32.95%32.73%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 21:50
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 21:50
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -0.623%E -0.190%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.32%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:44
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 21:45
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -9.45%E -4.08%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 21:50
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -3.66%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 16:05
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:44
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:35
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:45
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:50
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.72%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 21:55
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.76%EV -3.99%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.98%EV -2.75%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 21:55
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 21:55
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 21:35
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 21:35
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 21:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 21:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 21:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 21:05
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 21:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 21:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:54
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.17%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 21:35
Suprabets2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -10.65%E -3.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 21:45
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 21:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 21:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.43%E -6.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-06 21:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-05-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%2.4%2026-05-06 21:45