L’École des cotes

Cusco FC v Estudiantes La Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 22:00 UTC

Score final : Cusco FC 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cusco FC (Local)

Prévision 30.39%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.289%
Avantage +0.088%
Kelly +0.126%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%30.42%30.38%31.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.063.023.3034.72%32.71%33.06%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Estudiantes La Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.03%2.56cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.78%39.03%39.04%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.4744.44%42.21%42.02%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.58%3.27cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.830%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.61%30.54%30.58%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.053.2137.04%32.95%32.73%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 21:50
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV +0.289%E +0.088%K +0.126%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 21:50
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -0.623%E -0.190%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.32%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:44
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 21:45
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:50
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.06%E -3.89%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.75%E -0.859%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -9.45%E -4.08%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 21:50
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -3.66%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 16:05
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:44
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:35
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:45
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 21:50
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.72%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 21:55
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.76%EV -3.99%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.98%EV -2.75%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 21:55
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 21:55
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 21:35
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.31%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 21:35
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 21:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.53%EV -3.60%E -1.46%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 21:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 21:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 21:05
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 21:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 21:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:54
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 21:50
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.17%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 21:35
Suprabets2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -10.65%E -3.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 21:45
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 21:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.50%E -3.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 21:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.43%E -6.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-06 21:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-05-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%2.4%2026-05-06 21:45