StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruzeiro v Boca Juniors

Matchstart: 2026-04-29 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruzeiro (Hemma)

Prognos 37.82%2.64rättvist odds
EV -2.43%
Fördel -0.942%
Kelly -1.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.58

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.40%37.82%37.82%39.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.432.402.5845.45%41.20%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Boca Juniors (Borta)

Prognos 29.95%3.34rättvist odds
EV +1.82%
Fördel +0.537%
Kelly +0.760%
Tillväxt +0.014%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.53%29.98%29.93%31.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.083.103.4036.36%32.46%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.23%3.10rättvist odds
EV -0.074%
Fördel -0.024%
Kelly -0.035%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.67%32.21%32.24%34.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.892.883.1037.04%34.65%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cruzeiro (Hemma): 37.82%; Boca Juniors (Borta): 29.95%; Oavgjort: 32.23%. För Boca Juniors (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.34. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +1.82%E +0.537%K +0.760%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +1.82%E +0.537%K +0.760%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 12:54
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:54
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:55
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.67%E -0.821%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 12:54
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.20%EV -2.43%E -0.942%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.09%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:14
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.05%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -3.87%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -8.46%E -2.98%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.39%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:10
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.39%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:09
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:22
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:49
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.08%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -5.96%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -0.074%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 16:44
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 03:40
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:52
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.42%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.82%EV -8.36%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.75%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 00:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:49
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:19
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 10:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.52%EV -10.75%E -3.61%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.23%EV -12.00%E -4.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 03:38
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -14.05%E -4.89%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 10:25
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -14.05%E -4.89%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 10:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -16.80%E -7.64%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -14.65%E -5.14%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 01:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.80%E -7.64%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 03:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.26%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.33%13.2%2026-04-23 03:39