مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruzeiro v Boca Juniors

البداية: 2026-04-29 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruzeiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.82%2.64السعر العادل
EV -2.43%
الأفضلية -0.942%
Kelly -1.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.40%37.82%37.82%39.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.432.402.5845.45%41.20%41.67%38.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Boca Juniors (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.95%3.34السعر العادل
EV +1.82%
الأفضلية +0.537%
Kelly +0.760%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.53%29.98%29.93%31.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.083.103.4036.36%32.46%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.23%3.10السعر العادل
EV -0.074%
الأفضلية -0.024%
Kelly -0.035%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.67%32.21%32.24%34.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.892.883.1037.04%34.65%34.72%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +1.82%E +0.537%K +0.760%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 12:55
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +1.82%E +0.537%K +0.760%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 12:54
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:55
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:54
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:54
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:55
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.67%E -0.821%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 12:54
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.20%EV -2.43%E -0.942%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.09%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:14
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.05%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -3.87%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -8.46%E -2.98%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 19:50
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.39%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:10
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.39%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:09
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:22
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:49
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 01:10
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 12:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:39
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:40
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.08%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -5.96%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:15
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -0.074%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 16:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 03:40
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:52
GTbets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.42%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.82%EV -8.36%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.75%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:15
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 00:34
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:19
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 10:34
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.52%EV -10.75%E -3.61%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.23%EV -12.00%E -4.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 03:38
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -14.05%E -4.89%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 10:25
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -14.05%E -4.89%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 10:24
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -16.80%E -7.64%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -14.65%E -5.14%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 01:54
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.80%E -7.64%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 03:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (1)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.26%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.33%13.2%2026-04-23 03:39