A Escola das Odds

Cruzeiro v Boca Juniors

Início: 2026-04-29 00:30 UTC

Final: Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Previsão 37.82%2.64odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -0.942%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.40%37.82%37.82%39.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.402.5845.45%41.20%41.67%38.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boca Juniors (Visitante)

Previsão 29.95%3.34odd justa
EV +1.82%
Vantagem +0.537%
Kelly +0.760%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.53%29.98%29.93%31.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.083.103.4036.36%32.46%32.26%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.23%3.10odd justa
EV -0.074%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.035%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.67%32.21%32.24%34.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.892.883.1037.04%34.65%34.72%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +1.82%E +0.537%K +0.760%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 12:55
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +1.82%E +0.537%K +0.760%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 12:54
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:55
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:54
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:54
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:55
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.17%E -0.355%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.67%E -0.821%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 12:54
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.20%EV -2.43%E -0.942%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.09%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:14
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.05%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -3.87%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -8.46%E -2.98%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 19:50
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.39%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:10
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.39%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:09
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:22
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:49
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 01:10
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 12:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:39
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:40
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.08%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -5.96%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:15
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -0.074%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 16:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 03:40
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:52
GTbets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.42%EV -4.70%E -1.87%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.82%EV -8.36%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.75%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:15
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 00:34
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:19
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 10:34
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.52%EV -10.75%E -3.61%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.23%EV -12.00%E -4.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 03:38
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.02%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -14.05%E -4.89%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 10:25
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -14.05%E -4.89%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 10:24
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -16.80%E -7.64%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -14.65%E -5.14%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 01:54
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.80%E -7.64%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 03:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.26%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.33%13.2%2026-04-23 03:39