Language:English
Cruzeiro v Barcelona SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruzeiro (Local)
Prediction 74.50%1.34fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -16.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.05%74.45%74.73%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.29%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barcelona SC (Visit)
Prediction 8.23%12.16fair odd
EV +15.16%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.177%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.97%8.30%8.06%10.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.4411.5014.0011.76%8.74%8.70%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.28%5.79fair odd
EV +3.85%
Edge +0.640%
Kelly +0.768%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 6.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.58%17.25%17.22%18.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.365.406.0120.83%18.65%18.52%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruzeiro (Local): 74.50%; Barcelona SC (Visit): 8.23%; Draw: 17.28%. For Barcelona SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.16. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.97%EV +15.16%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.177% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.97%EV +15.16%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.177% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.03%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.03%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.41%EV -6.14%E -4.87%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.86%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.07%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 23:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +3.67%E +0.612%K +0.735%G +0.027% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.86%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -1.51%E -0.265%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.86%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 11.65I 8.58%NM 8.16%EV -4.17%E -0.358%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.71%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 11.55I 8.66%NM 8.00%EV -4.99%E -0.432%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.29%EV -2.03%E -0.358%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.10%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 11.07I 9.03%NM 8.50%EV -8.94%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 23:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 23:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.15%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-29 00:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.23%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 9.54I 10.48%NM 9.96%EV -21.52%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.81%EV +3.85%E +0.640%K +0.768%G +0.030% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -21.85%E -2.30%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.82%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -25.97%E -2.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -10.15%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.71% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.30% | 2.1% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |