La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cruzeiro v Barcelona SC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruzeiro (Local)
Predicción 74.50%1.34momio equitativo
EV -4.65%
Ventaja -3.63%
Kelly -16.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.05%74.45%74.73%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.29%80.00%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barcelona SC (Visitante)
Predicción 8.23%12.16momio equitativo
EV +15.16%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.177%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.97%8.30%8.06%10.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5011.4411.5014.0011.76%8.74%8.70%7.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.28%5.79momio equitativo
EV +3.85%
Ventaja +0.640%
Kelly +0.768%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.58%17.25%17.22%18.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.365.406.0120.83%18.65%18.52%16.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.97%EV +15.16%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.177% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.97%EV +15.16%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.177% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.03%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.03%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.41%EV -6.14%E -4.87%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.86%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Suprabets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.07%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 23:58 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +3.67%E +0.612%K +0.735%G +0.027% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.86%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -1.51%E -0.265%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.86%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 11.65I 8.58%NM 8.16%EV -4.17%E -0.358%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.71%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 11.55I 8.66%NM 8.00%EV -4.99%E -0.432%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.29%EV -2.03%E -0.358%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 00:00 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.10%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 11.07I 9.03%NM 8.50%EV -8.94%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 23:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 23:49 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.15%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-29 00:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.23%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 9.54I 10.48%NM 9.96%EV -21.52%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.81%EV +3.85%E +0.640%K +0.768%G +0.030% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -21.85%E -2.30%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.82%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -25.97%E -2.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -10.15%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.71% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.30% | 2.1% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |