مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruzeiro v Barcelona SC

البداية: 2026-05-29 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cruzeiro 4–0 Barcelona SC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruzeiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.50%1.34السعر العادل
EV -4.65%
الأفضلية -3.63%
Kelly -16.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.05%74.45%74.73%76.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.29%80.00%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barcelona SC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.23%12.16السعر العادل
EV +15.16%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
النمو +0.177%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.97%8.30%8.06%10.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.5011.4411.5014.0011.76%8.74%8.70%7.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.28%5.79السعر العادل
EV +3.85%
الأفضلية +0.640%
Kelly +0.768%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.58%17.25%17.22%18.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.365.406.0120.83%18.65%18.52%16.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.97%EV +15.16%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.177%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 00:19
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.97%EV +15.16%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.177%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 00:19
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.03%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.03%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 16:09
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.41%EV -6.14%E -4.87%K -23.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 21:49
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:20
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.86%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 00:09
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 00:19
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.07%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.94%E +0.534%K +0.578%G +0.040%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 00:19
Suprabets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.07%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV +0.218%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 23:58
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +3.67%E +0.612%K +0.735%G +0.027%7.0%2026-05-28 23:30
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.86%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -1.51%E -0.265%K -0.321%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 23:50
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 00:19
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.29%E -0.107%K -0.117%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 21:39
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.86%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.16%EV -4.17%E -0.358%K -0.391%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 00:09
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 75.71%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000%11.55I 8.66%NM 8.00%EV -4.99%E -0.432%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.29%EV -2.03%E -0.358%K -0.434%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 00:09
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 00:00
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 00:19
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -5.40%E -0.470%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 00:20
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.10%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%11.07I 9.03%NM 8.50%EV -8.94%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 00:09
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -0.646%E -0.112%K -0.136%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 23:48
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 23:50
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 23:49
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 00:19
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 00:19
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 00:19
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -9.51%E -0.865%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-28 21:39
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 00:19
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.15%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 00:08
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -17.74%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-29 00:19
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.23%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000%9.54I 10.48%NM 9.96%EV -21.52%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.81%EV +3.85%E +0.640%K +0.768%G +0.030%5.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -21.85%E -2.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.82%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -25.97%E -2.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -10.15%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-29 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-29 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-29 00:20
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-29 00:19
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.05%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -30.08%E -3.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.06%E -3.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-29 00:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-05-29 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-05-29 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-05-29 00:20
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.71%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.30%2.1%2026-05-29 00:20