A Escola das Odds

Carabobo FC v Sporting Cristal

Início: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Carabobo FC (Local)

Previsão 35.85%2.79odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -0.778%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.80%35.82%35.84%36.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.582.622.7341.67%38.73%38.17%36.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sporting Cristal (Visitante)

Previsão 32.12%3.11odd justa
EV +0.210%
Vantagem +0.067%
Kelly +0.099%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.10%32.15%32.09%33.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.862.853.1237.04%34.92%35.09%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.03%3.12odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.758%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.70%32.03%32.07%33.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.902.913.0538.02%34.47%34.36%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.55%EV -2.12%E -0.778%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%EV +0.210%E +0.067%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.35%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 21:49
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:39
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.61%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.16%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:10
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.61%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.16%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:10
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.48%E -0.912%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%EV -4.93%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.68%EV -6.48%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:45
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.20%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.25%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:20
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.35%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 21:30
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 21:05
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Suprabets2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -4.63%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.55%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 18:20
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:00
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:35
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.40%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 21:05
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 21:34
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-04 21:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 21:09
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.63%EV -11.03%E -3.98%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-04 21:35
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 21:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -15.76%E -5.99%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-04 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%2.4%2026-03-04 21:55