مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carabobo FC v Sporting Cristal

البداية: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carabobo FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.85%2.79السعر العادل
EV -2.12%
الأفضلية -0.778%
Kelly -1.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.80%35.82%35.84%36.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.582.622.7341.67%38.73%38.17%36.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sporting Cristal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.12%3.11السعر العادل
EV +0.210%
الأفضلية +0.067%
Kelly +0.099%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.10%32.15%32.09%33.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.862.853.1237.04%34.92%35.09%32.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.03%3.12السعر العادل
EV -2.31%
الأفضلية -0.758%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.70%32.03%32.07%33.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.902.913.0538.02%34.47%34.36%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.55%EV -2.12%E -0.778%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%EV +0.210%E +0.067%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.35%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 21:49
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:39
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.61%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.16%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:10
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.61%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.16%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:10
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.48%E -0.912%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%EV -4.93%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.68%EV -6.48%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:45
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.20%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.25%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:20
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.35%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 21:30
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 21:05
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Suprabets2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -4.63%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.55%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 18:20
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:00
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:35
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.40%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 21:05
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 21:34
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-04 21:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 21:09
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.63%EV -11.03%E -3.98%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-04 21:35
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 21:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -15.76%E -5.99%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-04 21:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%2.4%2026-03-04 21:55