L’École des cotes

Carabobo FC v Sporting Cristal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carabobo FC (Local)

Prévision 35.85%2.79cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.778%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.80%35.82%35.84%36.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.622.7341.67%38.73%38.17%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sporting Cristal (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.12%3.11cote équitable
EV +0.210%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.15%32.09%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.862.853.1237.04%34.92%35.09%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.03%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.70%32.03%32.07%33.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.902.913.0538.02%34.47%34.36%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.55%EV -2.12%E -0.778%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%EV +0.210%E +0.067%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.35%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 21:49
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:39
BetOnline.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.61%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.16%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:10
LowVig.ag2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.61%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -6.16%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:10
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.48%E -0.912%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%EV -4.93%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.68%EV -6.48%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:45
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.20%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.25%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:20
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.35%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 21:30
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 21:05
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Suprabets2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -4.63%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.55%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 18:20
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:00
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:35
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.40%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 21:05
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 21:34
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-04 21:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 21:09
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.63%EV -11.03%E -3.98%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-04 21:35
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 21:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -11.67%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -15.76%E -5.99%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-04 21:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%2.4%2026-03-04 21:55