Language:English
Botafogo v Barcelona SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 61.08%1.64fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%61.06%61.22%64.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.08%66.45%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barcelona SC (Visit)
Prediction 13.46%7.43fair odd
EV +7.66%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.80%13.38%13.39%17.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.007.027.008.0020.00%14.25%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV +4.41%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.063%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%25.56%25.39%27.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.42%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 61.08%; Barcelona SC (Visit): 13.46%; Draw: 25.47%. For Barcelona SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.43. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063% | 2.2% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063% | 2.2% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.19%EV +4.29%E +0.554%K +0.636%G +0.027% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.60%EV +1.20%E +0.159%K +0.184%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.05%EV -1.09%E -0.148%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.27%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -13.16%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.36%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.87%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.73%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.53%EV -4.72%E -3.03%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.95%EV -8.89%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.24%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.48%EV -16.56%E -2.67%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -17.91%E -2.94%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-11 00:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.69%EV -7.78%E -5.15%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -32.71%E -6.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |