L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Botafogo v Barcelona SC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 61.08%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -6.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%61.06%61.22%64.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.08%66.45%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Barcelona SC (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.46%7.43cote équitable
EV +7.66%
Avantage +0.957%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.084%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.80%13.38%13.39%17.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.007.027.008.0020.00%14.25%14.29%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.47%3.93cote équitable
EV +4.41%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.52%25.56%25.39%27.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.42%27.78%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063% | 2.2% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063% | 2.2% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.19%EV +4.29%E +0.554%K +0.636%G +0.027% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.60%EV +1.20%E +0.159%K +0.184%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.05%EV -1.09%E -0.148%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.27%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -13.16%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.36%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.87%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.73%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 00:24 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.53%EV -4.72%E -3.03%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.95%EV -8.89%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.24%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.48%EV -16.56%E -2.67%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -17.91%E -2.94%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-11 00:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.69%EV -7.78%E -5.15%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -32.71%E -6.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |