مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Barcelona SC

البداية: 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

42 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.08%1.64السعر العادل
EV -3.50%
الأفضلية -2.22%
Kelly -6.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.69%61.06%61.22%64.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.08%66.45%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barcelona SC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.46%7.43السعر العادل
EV +7.66%
الأفضلية +0.957%
Kelly +1.09%
النمو +0.084%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.80%13.38%13.39%17.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.007.027.008.0020.00%14.25%14.29%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.47%3.93السعر العادل
EV +4.41%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
النمو +0.063%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.52%25.56%25.39%27.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.42%27.78%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (42 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063%2.2%2026-03-11 00:25
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063%2.2%2026-03-11 00:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 00:25
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.19%EV +4.29%E +0.554%K +0.636%G +0.027%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.60%EV +1.20%E +0.159%K +0.184%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 00:15
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012%5.4%2026-03-11 00:25
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012%5.4%2026-03-11 00:25
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012%5.4%2026-03-11 00:25
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012%5.9%2026-03-11 00:25
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.7%2026-03-11 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001%7.6%2026-03-11 00:25
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-11 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-11 00:25
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.05%EV -1.09%E -0.148%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.27%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:20
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -13.16%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 00:15
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.36%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 00:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.87%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 00:19
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.73%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 00:25
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 00:14
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 00:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 00:15
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 00:25
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 00:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 00:24
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 00:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 00:25
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 00:25
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 00:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 00:15
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.53%EV -4.72%E -3.03%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 13.95%EV -8.89%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 00:20
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 00:05
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 00:05
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.24%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.48%EV -16.56%E -2.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-11 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -17.91%E -2.94%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-11 00:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-11 00:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-11 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-11 00:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-11 00:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.69%EV -7.78%E -5.15%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -32.71%E -6.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-11 00:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-03-11 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-03-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.44%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-11 00:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-03-11 00:25