La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Botafogo v Barcelona SC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo (Local)
Predicción 61.08%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -6.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%61.06%61.22%64.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.08%66.45%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barcelona SC (Visitante)
Predicción 13.46%7.43momio equitativo
EV +7.66%
Ventaja +0.957%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.80%13.38%13.39%17.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.007.027.008.0020.00%14.25%14.29%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.47%3.93momio equitativo
EV +4.41%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.063%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%25.56%25.39%27.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.42%27.78%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063% | 2.2% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV +4.41%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.063% | 2.2% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.36%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.66%E +0.957%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.19%EV +4.29%E +0.554%K +0.636%G +0.027% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.60%EV +1.20%E +0.159%K +0.184%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.65%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.622%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +0.594%E +0.150%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -13.27%E -9.35%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.930%E +0.124%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.05%EV -1.09%E -0.148%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.27%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -13.16%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -4.45%E -0.627%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.36%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.87%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.73%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.95%E -0.507%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 00:24 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -5.80%E -0.828%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.31%EV -7.14%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -14.69%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 00:15 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.53%EV -4.72%E -3.03%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.95%EV -8.89%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.24%EV -9.00%E -6.04%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.48%EV -16.56%E -2.67%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -17.91%E -2.94%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-11 00:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.69%EV -7.78%E -5.15%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -32.71%E -6.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |