Language:English
Boca Juniors v Barcelona SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prediction 71.47%1.40fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -5.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.52%71.21%71.76%72.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3780.65%76.69%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barcelona SC (Visit)
Prediction 8.64%11.57fair odd
EV +8.13%
Edge +0.650%
Kelly +0.706%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 12.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.67%8.82%8.51%10.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.5411.0012.5112.50%9.48%9.09%7.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.89%5.03fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.627%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.11%19.97%19.73%21.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.644.605.1623.26%21.54%21.74%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boca Juniors (Local): 71.47%; Barcelona SC (Visit): 8.64%; Draw: 19.89%. For Barcelona SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.57. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.13%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.51I 7.99%NM 7.67%EV +8.13%E +0.650%K +0.706%G +0.057% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.57%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.88%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.53%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.50%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -13.90%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.80%EV -2.08%E -1.52%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.65%EV -13.13%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -1.37%E -0.276%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.67%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.12%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -15.30%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -6.54%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -22.21%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.56%EV -23.51%E -2.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.11%EV +2.61%E +0.506%K +0.627%G +0.016% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.97%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -23.94%E -2.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -14.49%E -3.37%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.83%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.57%EV -9.95%E -7.89%K -38.25%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -30.85%E -3.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.42% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |