La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Boca Juniors v Barcelona SC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 71.47%1.40momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -5.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.52%71.21%71.76%72.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.301.301.3780.65%76.69%76.92%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barcelona SC (Visitante)
Predicción 8.64%11.57momio equitativo
EV +8.13%
Ventaja +0.650%
Kelly +0.706%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.67%8.82%8.51%10.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.5411.0012.5112.50%9.48%9.09%7.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.89%5.03momio equitativo
EV +2.61%
Ventaja +0.506%
Kelly +0.627%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.11%19.97%19.73%21.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.644.605.1623.26%21.54%21.74%19.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.13%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.51I 7.99%NM 7.67%EV +8.13%E +0.650%K +0.706%G +0.057% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.57%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 22:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.88%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.53%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:24 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:19 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.50%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -13.90%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.80%EV -2.08%E -1.52%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.65%EV -13.13%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -1.37%E -0.276%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.67%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.12%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -15.30%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -6.54%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -22.21%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.56%EV -23.51%E -2.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.11%EV +2.61%E +0.506%K +0.627%G +0.016% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.97%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -23.94%E -2.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -14.49%E -3.37%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.83%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.57%EV -9.95%E -7.89%K -38.25%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -30.85%E -3.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.42% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |