مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boca Juniors v Barcelona SC

البداية: 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Boca Juniors 3–0 Barcelona SC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boca Juniors (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.47%1.40السعر العادل
EV -2.08%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -5.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.52%71.21%71.76%72.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.241.301.301.3780.65%76.69%76.92%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barcelona SC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.64%11.57السعر العادل
EV +8.13%
الأفضلية +0.650%
Kelly +0.706%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.67%8.82%8.51%10.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.0010.5411.0012.5112.50%9.48%9.09%7.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.89%5.03السعر العادل
EV +2.61%
الأفضلية +0.506%
Kelly +0.627%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.11%19.97%19.73%21.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.304.644.605.1623.26%21.54%21.74%19.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.13%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.51I 7.99%NM 7.67%EV +8.13%E +0.650%K +0.706%G +0.057%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:45
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:44
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:45
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.57%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 22:24
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.88%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 22:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 23:55
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 23:55
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 23:30
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 23:54
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.53%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 20:00
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:54
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:55
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:55
Suprabets1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:24
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:19
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 23:35
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 23:35
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:50
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:50
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.50%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -13.90%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 22:24
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-14 23:45
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 23:55
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 23:54
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.80%EV -2.08%E -1.52%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.65%EV -13.13%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -1.37%E -0.276%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 23:55
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:53
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.67%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 23:39
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.12%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -15.30%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -6.54%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 23:35
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 23:35
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -22.21%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 23:55
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.56%EV -23.51%E -2.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.11%EV +2.61%E +0.506%K +0.627%G +0.016%7.0%2026-04-14 23:54
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 69.97%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -23.94%E -2.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -14.49%E -3.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-14 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.83%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 23:35
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-14 23:35
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-14 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.57%EV -9.95%E -7.89%K -38.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -30.85%E -3.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-14 23:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-04-14 23:55
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.42%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.6%2026-04-14 23:40