La scuola delle quote

Boca Juniors v Barcelona SC

Inizio: 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC

Finale: Boca Juniors 3–0 Barcelona SC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Boca Juniors (Casa)

Previsione 71.47%1.40quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -5.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.52%71.21%71.76%72.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.301.301.3780.65%76.69%76.92%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barcelona SC (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.64%11.57quota equa
EV +8.13%
Vantaggio +0.650%
Kelly +0.706%
Crescita +0.057%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.67%8.82%8.51%10.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.5411.0012.5112.50%9.48%9.09%7.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.89%5.03quota equa
EV +2.61%
Vantaggio +0.506%
Kelly +0.627%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.11%19.97%19.73%21.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.644.605.1623.26%21.54%21.74%19.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.13%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.51I 7.99%NM 7.67%EV +8.13%E +0.650%K +0.706%G +0.057%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:45
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:44
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.43%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:45
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.57%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 22:24
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.88%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 22:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 23:55
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.64%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.47%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 23:55
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 23:30
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -0.602%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 23:54
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.53%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.55%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 20:00
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:54
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:55
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.54%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:55
Suprabets1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:24
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:19
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 23:35
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 23:35
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:50
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 23:50
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.50%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -13.90%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 22:24
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -4.92%E -0.448%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-14 23:45
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 23:55
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -9.23%E -7.27%K -34.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.53%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 23:54
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.80%EV -2.08%E -1.52%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.65%EV -13.13%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -1.37%E -0.276%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 23:55
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:53
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.67%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 23:39
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.12%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -15.30%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -6.54%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 23:35
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 23:35
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -22.21%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 23:55
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.56%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.56%EV -23.51%E -2.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.11%EV +2.61%E +0.506%K +0.627%G +0.016%7.0%2026-04-14 23:54
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 69.97%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -23.94%E -2.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -14.49%E -3.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-14 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.83%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -2.56%E -0.523%K -0.657%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 23:35
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-14 23:35
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-14 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.57%EV -9.95%E -7.89%K -38.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -30.85%E -3.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -10.52%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-14 23:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.74%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-04-14 23:55
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.42%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.6%2026-04-14 23:40