Language:English
Bahia v O'Higgins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bahia (Local)
Prediction 74.61%1.34fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -4.13%
Kelly -19.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.19%74.47%74.65%77.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.241.251.2786.21%80.69%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
O'Higgins (Visit)
Prediction 8.57%11.67fair odd
EV +11.39%
Edge +0.876%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.108%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.14%8.62%8.49%10.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.8211.0013.0011.76%9.24%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.82%5.94fair odd
EV +14.40%
Edge +2.12%
Kelly +2.48%
Growth +0.358%
assuming max odds 6.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%16.91%16.86%18.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.525.556.8020.41%18.12%18.02%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bahia (Local): 74.61%; O'Higgins (Visit): 8.57%; Draw: 16.82%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.94. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.59%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.15%EV +1.96%E +0.165%K +0.180%G +0.004% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV +14.40%E +2.12%K +2.48%G +0.358% | 3.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 10:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +11.39%E +0.876%K +0.949%G +0.108% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 21:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.71%EV -8.23%E -6.69%K -35.79%G +0.000% | 12.55I 7.97%NM 7.52%EV +7.53%E +0.600%K +0.652%G +0.049% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.78%EV +0.605%E +0.101%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -0.741%E -0.126%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.40%EV -13.45%E -11.60%K -84.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -4.11%E -0.720%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-25 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.79%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 11.01I 9.08%NM 8.56%EV -5.66%E -0.514%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.65%EV -4.78%E -0.844%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -7.49%E -6.04%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 21:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.12%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.71%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-25 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.89%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-25 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.09%EV -11.22%E -9.43%K -59.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -18.60%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.75%EV -17.56%E -3.58%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-25 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.17% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.33% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |