La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Bahia v O'Higgins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bahia (Local)
Predicción 74.61%1.34momio equitativo
EV -5.25%
Ventaja -4.13%
Kelly -19.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.19%74.47%74.65%77.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.241.251.2786.21%80.69%80.00%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
O'Higgins (Visitante)
Predicción 8.57%11.67momio equitativo
EV +11.39%
Ventaja +0.876%
Kelly +0.949%
Crecimiento +0.108%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.14%8.62%8.49%10.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.8211.0013.0011.76%9.24%9.09%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.82%5.94momio equitativo
EV +14.40%
Ventaja +2.12%
Kelly +2.48%
Crecimiento +0.358%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.26%16.91%16.86%18.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.525.556.8020.41%18.12%18.02%14.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.59%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.15%EV +1.96%E +0.165%K +0.180%G +0.004% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV +14.40%E +2.12%K +2.48%G +0.358% | 3.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 10:35 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +11.39%E +0.876%K +0.949%G +0.108% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 21:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.71%EV -8.23%E -6.69%K -35.79%G +0.000% | 12.55I 7.97%NM 7.52%EV +7.53%E +0.600%K +0.652%G +0.049% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.78%EV +0.605%E +0.101%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -0.741%E -0.126%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.40%EV -13.45%E -11.60%K -84.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -4.11%E -0.720%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-25 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.79%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 11.01I 9.08%NM 8.56%EV -5.66%E -0.514%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.65%EV -4.78%E -0.844%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:04 |
| Suprabets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -7.49%E -6.04%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 21:43 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 21:40 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 10:59 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.12%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.71%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-25 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.89%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-25 21:25 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-25 21:20 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.09%EV -11.22%E -9.43%K -59.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -18.60%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.75%EV -17.56%E -3.58%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-25 21:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.17% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.33% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |