A Escola das Odds

Bahia v O'Higgins

Início: 2026-02-25 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bahia (Local)

Previsão 74.61%1.34odd justa
EV -5.25%
Vantagem -4.13%
Kelly -19.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.19%74.47%74.65%77.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.161.241.251.2786.21%80.69%80.00%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

O'Higgins (Visitante)

Previsão 8.57%11.67odd justa
EV +11.39%
Vantagem +0.876%
Kelly +0.949%
Crescimento +0.108%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.14%8.62%8.49%10.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.5010.8211.0013.0011.76%9.24%9.09%7.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 16.82%5.94odd justa
EV +14.40%
Vantagem +2.12%
Kelly +2.48%
Crescimento +0.358%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.26%16.91%16.86%18.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.525.556.8020.41%18.12%18.02%14.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.59%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 8.15%EV +1.96%E +0.165%K +0.180%G +0.004%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV +14.40%E +2.12%K +2.48%G +0.358%3.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%5.0%2026-02-25 10:35
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%5.1%2026-02-25 21:49
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +11.39%E +0.876%K +0.949%G +0.108%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%7.7%2026-02-25 21:49
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 76.71%EV -8.23%E -6.69%K -35.79%G +0.000%12.55I 7.97%NM 7.52%EV +7.53%E +0.600%K +0.652%G +0.049%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.78%EV +0.605%E +0.101%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.0%2026-02-25 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -0.741%E -0.126%K -0.151%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:54
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 21:54
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 21:54
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:54
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:54
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:54
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:25
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:45
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 21:45
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 76.40%EV -13.45%E -11.60%K -84.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -4.11%E -0.720%K -0.873%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-25 21:49
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 74.79%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%11.01I 9.08%NM 8.56%EV -5.66%E -0.514%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.65%EV -4.78%E -0.844%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:50
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 21:04
Suprabets1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -7.49%E -6.04%K -31.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:43
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 21:25
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 21:55
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 21:55
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 21:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 21:40
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 10:59
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 10:59
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.12%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 21:45
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.71%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-25 21:24
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.89%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-25 21:25
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-25 21:20
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 21:50
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.09%EV -11.22%E -9.43%K -59.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -18.60%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.75%EV -17.56%E -3.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-25 21:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-02-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-02-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-02-25 21:55
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.17%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.33%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50%4.5%2026-02-25 21:55