Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bahia v O'Higgins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bahia (Local)

Prévision 74.61%1.34cote équitable
EV -5.25%
Avantage -4.13%
Kelly -19.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.19%74.47%74.65%77.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.241.251.2786.21%80.69%80.00%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.57%11.67cote équitable
EV +11.39%
Avantage +0.876%
Kelly +0.949%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.14%8.62%8.49%10.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.8211.0013.0011.76%9.24%9.09%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.82%5.94cote équitable
EV +14.40%
Avantage +2.12%
Kelly +2.48%
Croissance +0.358%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%16.91%16.86%18.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.525.556.8020.41%18.12%18.02%14.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bahia (Local) : 74.61% ; O'Higgins (Visiteur) : 8.57% ; Match nul : 16.82%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.94. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.80, soit une espérance positive de +14.40%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.59%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 8.15%EV +1.96%E +0.165%K +0.180%G +0.004%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV +14.40%E +2.12%K +2.48%G +0.358%3.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%5.0%2026-02-25 10:35
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%5.1%2026-02-25 21:49
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +11.39%E +0.876%K +0.949%G +0.108%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +0.942%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%7.7%2026-02-25 21:49
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.71%EV -8.23%E -6.69%K -35.79%G +0.000%12.55I 7.97%NM 7.52%EV +7.53%E +0.600%K +0.652%G +0.049%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.78%EV +0.605%E +0.101%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.0%2026-02-25 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -0.741%E -0.126%K -0.151%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 21:54
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 21:54
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 21:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.40%EV -13.45%E -11.60%K -84.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -4.11%E -0.720%K -0.873%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-25 21:49
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.79%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%11.01I 9.08%NM 8.56%EV -5.66%E -0.514%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.65%EV -4.78%E -0.844%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.65%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 21:04
Suprabets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -7.49%E -6.04%K -31.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 21:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.03%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +2.82%E +0.235%K +0.256%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 21:40
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 10:59
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.12%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 21:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.71%EV -8.98%E -7.36%K -40.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -14.32%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-25 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.89%EV -10.47%E -8.73%K -52.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -27.17%E -3.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-25 21:25
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -12.71%E -10.86%K -74.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -5.75%E -0.523%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-25 21:20
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -1.47%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -16.72%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.09%EV -11.22%E -9.43%K -59.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -18.60%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.75%EV -17.56%E -3.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-25 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-02-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-02-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-02-25 21:55
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.17%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.33%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50%4.5%2026-02-25 21:55