默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toluca v FC Dallas

开赛时间: 2026-08-13 02:00 UTC

最终结果: Toluca 3–1 FC Dallas

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toluca (主队)

预测 67.68%1.48公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -2.25%
Kelly -7.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
65.11%67.47%67.65%69.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.361.351.4375.76%73.33%74.07%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Dallas (客队)

预测 13.97%7.16公平赔率
EV +4.79%
优势 +0.639%
Kelly +0.737%
增长率 +0.035%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.63%14.07%14.07%15.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.697.007.5017.39%14.95%14.29%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.34%5.45公平赔率
EV -2.78%
优势 -0.524%
Kelly -0.646%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.21%18.46%18.27%20.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.065.205.3022.73%19.78%19.23%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Toluca (主队):67.68%;FC Dallas (客队):13.97%;平局:18.34%。 对于“FC Dallas (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.16。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为7.50,对应+4.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.79%E +0.639%K +0.737%G +0.035%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.95%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 01:25
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +1.30%E +0.179%K +0.207%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -17.45%E -3.88%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.30%E -6.94%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 01:50
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -10.66%E -8.07%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -4.61%E -0.887%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 01:45
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 01:53
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 01:53
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.07%EV -5.13%E -0.756%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 01:45
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-13 01:41
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -6.39%E -0.953%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.61%E -0.887%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -6.39%E -0.953%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.61%E -0.887%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:54
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.88%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.20%EV -6.53%E -0.976%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.92%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.61%EV -8.76%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -6.45%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.61%EV -8.76%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -6.45%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:45
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -10.12%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 01:50
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -10.12%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.87%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-13 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.87%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-13 01:50
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-13 01:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.57%E -2.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -6.45%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-13 01:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.64%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 01:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -15.62%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 01:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-08-13 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-08-13 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%0.9%2026-08-13 01:55
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.42%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.60%1.4%2026-08-13 01:55