StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca v FC Dallas

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-13 02:00 UTC

Endstand: Toluca 3–1 FC Dallas

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 67.68%1.48faire Quote
EV -3.21%
Vorteil -2.25%
Kelly -7.47%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.11%67.47%67.65%69.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.321.361.351.4375.76%73.33%74.07%69.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FC Dallas (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.97%7.16faire Quote
EV +4.79%
Vorteil +0.639%
Kelly +0.737%
Wachstum +0.035%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.63%14.07%14.07%15.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.756.697.007.5017.39%14.95%14.29%13.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 18.34%5.45faire Quote
EV -2.78%
Vorteil -0.524%
Kelly -0.646%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.21%18.46%18.27%20.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.065.205.3022.73%19.78%19.23%18.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Toluca (Heim): 67.68%; FC Dallas (Auswärts): 13.97%; Unentschieden: 18.34%. Für FC Dallas (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.16. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.79%.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.79%E +0.639%K +0.737%G +0.035%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.95%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 01:25
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +1.30%E +0.179%K +0.207%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:50
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 01:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -17.45%E -3.88%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.30%E -6.94%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 01:50
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -10.66%E -8.07%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -4.61%E -0.887%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 01:45
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 01:53
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 01:53
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.07%EV -5.13%E -0.756%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 01:45
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-13 01:41
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -6.39%E -0.953%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.61%E -0.887%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -6.39%E -0.953%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.61%E -0.887%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:54
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.88%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.20%EV -6.53%E -0.976%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.92%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.61%EV -8.76%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -6.45%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.61%EV -8.76%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -6.45%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.70%E -0.704%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:45
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -10.12%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 01:50
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -10.12%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.87%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-13 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.18%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.87%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-13 01:50
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 01:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -2.78%E -0.524%K -0.646%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-13 01:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -16.17%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -19.29%E -4.38%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-13 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -17.57%E -2.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -6.45%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-13 01:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.64%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.28%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 01:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -15.62%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 01:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-08-13 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-08-13 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%0.9%2026-08-13 01:55
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.42%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.60%1.4%2026-08-13 01:55