Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toluca v FC Dallas

2026-08-13 02:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toluca (Local)

Previsão 66.93%1.49odd justa
EV -4.29%
Vantagem -3.00%
Kelly -9.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.18%66.76%66.89%68.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.391.401.4375.76%72.08%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Dallas (Visitante)

Previsão 13.25%7.55odd justa
EV -0.599%
Vantagem -0.080%
Kelly -0.092%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.29%13.26%13.23%14.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.256.866.757.5016.00%14.57%14.81%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.82%5.05odd justa
EV -0.908%
Vantagem -0.182%
Kelly -0.227%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.48%19.98%19.88%22.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.614.705.0025.00%21.68%21.28%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toluca (Local): 66.93%; FC Dallas (Visitante): 13.25%; Empate: 19.82%. Para FC Dallas (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 7.55. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 7.50, com valor esperado de -0.599%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -0.599%E -0.080%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -0.908%E -0.182%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 13:34
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 14:07
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -13.85%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.82%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 14:09
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 13:34
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.04%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.04%EV -5.37%E -0.752%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -11.81%E -2.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 14:04
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 13:34
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.46%EV -1.26%E -0.169%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.24%EV -13.39%E -3.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.82%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -7.64%E -5.54%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 14:09
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.21%EV -7.64%E -5.54%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -5.90%E -0.831%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.64%E -5.54%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.85%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.88%EV -8.31%E -6.06%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.74%EV -3.25%E -0.445%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 14:09
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.23%EV -8.55%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.63%EV -7.84%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-11 14:09
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-11 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-11 14:09
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -17.17%E -2.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.82%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-11 14:08
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -20.73%E -5.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 14:09
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -20.73%E -5.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -20.73%E -5.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -20.73%E -5.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 14:09
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.65%E -7.15%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.599%E -0.080%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.38%EV -9.65%E -7.15%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -10.54%E -1.56%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-11 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.58%EV -10.32%E -7.70%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -13.85%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -2.89%E -0.590%K -0.741%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.32%E -7.70%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -17.17%E -2.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.99%E -8.26%K -33.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -11.65%E -8.83%K -36.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -2.89%E -0.590%K -0.741%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 13:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%0.9%2026-08-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%0.9%2026-08-11 14:10
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.54%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%2.3%2026-08-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%3.6%2026-08-11 14:10

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