Language:English
Portland Timbers v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Timbers (Local)
Prediction 57.59%1.74fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.93%57.49%57.53%58.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6664.10%61.60%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 20.71%4.83fair odd
EV -0.602%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.158%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.59%20.76%20.72%22.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.424.404.8025.00%22.64%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd
EV -0.166%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.046%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%21.75%21.75%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.254.254.6025.64%23.52%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Timbers (Local): 57.59%; Tijuana (Visit): 20.71%; Draw: 21.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -0.166%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -2.67%E -0.569%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.21%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.84%EV -1.03%E -0.227%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.40%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.76%EV -5.37%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 02:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.602%E -0.125%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 02:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.166%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.02%E -2.69%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 02:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -8.43%E -5.30%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 02:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-14 02:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.16%E -6.51%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 55.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 22.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 22.66% | -4.1% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |