The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Portland Timbers v Tijuana

2026-08-14 02:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Timbers (Local)

Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.58%48.03%47.95%49.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.931.9853.48%51.89%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Visit)

Prediction 27.70%3.61fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.671%
Kelly +0.920%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%27.46%27.55%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.7032.26%29.94%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.51%24.50%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.904.0027.78%26.12%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Portland Timbers (Local): 47.88%; Tijuana (Visit): 27.70%; Draw: 24.42%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.70, producing a positive expected value of +2.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +2.48%E +0.671%K +0.920%G +0.023%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 14:24
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.40%EV +1.93%E +0.524%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 14:25
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.01%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.76%EV -8.16%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 14:24
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 12:29
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 14:29
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 13:34
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 14:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:54
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.52%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:59
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 11:54
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.60%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 14:29
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.60%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 14:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-12 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-12 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.35%EV -9.99%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-12 13:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-12 14:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-12 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-12 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%6.0%2026-08-12 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%6.0%2026-08-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%6.0%2026-08-12 14:25
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%7.0%2026-08-12 14:15

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.