StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Portland Timbers v Tijuana

Matchstart: 2026-08-14 02:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Portland Timbers 3–1 Tijuana

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Portland Timbers (Hemma)

Prognos 57.59%1.74rättvist odds
EV -4.40%
Fördel -2.65%
Kelly -6.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.93%57.49%57.53%58.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.621.621.6664.10%61.60%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Borta)

Prognos 20.71%4.83rättvist odds
EV -0.602%
Fördel -0.125%
Kelly -0.158%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.59%20.76%20.72%22.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.424.404.8025.00%22.64%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.70%4.61rättvist odds
EV -0.166%
Fördel -0.036%
Kelly -0.046%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.42%21.75%21.75%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.254.254.6025.64%23.52%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Portland Timbers (Hemma): 57.59%; Tijuana (Borta): 20.71%; Oavgjort: 21.70%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.61. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.60, med väntevärdet -0.166%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 02:24
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -2.67%E -0.569%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:18
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.21%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.84%EV -1.03%E -0.227%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 02:24
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.40%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.76%EV -5.37%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 02:25
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:19
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:14
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 02:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 02:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 02:24
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.602%E -0.125%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 02:23
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 01:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 01:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 02:24
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 02:24
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 02:19
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 02:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 02:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 02:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 02:24
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.166%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 02:19
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.02%E -2.69%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 02:23
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -8.43%E -5.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 02:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 01:59
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 02:23
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 02:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-14 02:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.16%E -6.51%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 01:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 55.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 22.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 22.66%-4.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%0.4%2026-08-14 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-08-14 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-08-14 02:25