Idioma:Español
Portland Timbers v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Timbers (Local)
Predicción 57.59%1.74momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -2.65%
Kelly -6.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.93%57.49%57.53%58.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.621.621.6664.10%61.60%61.73%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 20.71%4.83momio equitativo
EV -0.602%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.158%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.59%20.76%20.72%22.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.424.404.8025.00%22.64%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.70%4.61momio equitativo
EV -0.166%
Ventaja -0.036%
Kelly -0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.42%21.75%21.75%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.254.254.6025.64%23.52%23.53%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Timbers (Local): 57.59%; Tijuana (Visitante): 20.71%; Empate: 21.70%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.61. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.60, con un valor esperado de -0.166%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -2.67%E -0.569%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 02:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.21%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.84%EV -1.03%E -0.227%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.40%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.76%EV -5.37%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 02:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.602%E -0.125%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 02:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.166%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 02:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.02%E -2.69%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 02:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -8.43%E -5.30%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 02:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 02:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-14 02:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.16%E -6.51%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 55.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 22.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 22.66% | -4.1% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 02:25 |