Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Timbers v Tijuana

Início: 2026-08-14 02:30 UTC

Final: Portland Timbers 3–1 Tijuana

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Timbers (Local)

Previsão 57.59%1.74odd justa
EV -4.40%
Vantagem -2.65%
Kelly -6.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.93%57.49%57.53%58.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.6664.10%61.60%61.73%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tijuana (Visitante)

Previsão 20.71%4.83odd justa
EV -0.602%
Vantagem -0.125%
Kelly -0.158%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.59%20.76%20.72%22.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.424.404.8025.00%22.64%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.70%4.61odd justa
EV -0.166%
Vantagem -0.036%
Kelly -0.046%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.42%21.75%21.75%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.254.254.6025.64%23.52%23.53%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Portland Timbers (Local): 57.59%; Tijuana (Visitante): 20.71%; Empate: 21.70%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.61. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.60, com valor esperado de -0.166%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 02:24
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -2.67%E -0.569%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:19
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 02:18
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.21%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.84%EV -1.03%E -0.227%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 02:24
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.40%EV -3.71%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.76%EV -5.37%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 02:25
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:19
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:14
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.34%E -0.519%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 02:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 02:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.64%E -0.345%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.99%E -0.668%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 02:24
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.602%E -0.125%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 02:23
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 01:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.76%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 01:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 02:24
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 02:24
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 02:19
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 02:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 02:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 02:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -17.17%E -4.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.36%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 02:24
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.166%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 02:19
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.89%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.02%E -2.69%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 02:23
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -8.43%E -5.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.96%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 02:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -13.03%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.51%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 01:59
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.81%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 02:23
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 02:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.33%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.19%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-14 02:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.16%E -6.51%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -15.10%E -3.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -8.85%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 55.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 22.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 22.66%-4.1%2026-08-14 02:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%0.4%2026-08-14 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-08-14 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-08-14 02:25