Language:English
Portland Timbers v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Timbers (Local)
Prediction 62.51%1.60fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.50%62.29%62.53%63.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.491.501.5371.94%67.13%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 17.49%5.72fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +0.565%
Kelly +0.680%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 5.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.10%17.61%17.34%20.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.185.105.9122.73%19.31%19.61%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.01%5.00fair odd
EV +0.032%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.94%20.10%20.12%21.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.605.0025.00%21.84%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Timbers (Local): 62.51%; Puebla (Visit): 17.49%; Draw: 20.01%. For Puebla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.57%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.20%EV +3.34%E +0.565%K +0.680%G +0.023% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.23%EV -9.77%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 02:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 01:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 02:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 02:33 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.97%E -0.827%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.03%EV -7.85%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.88%EV -4.37%E -0.914%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 02:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.60%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.16%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 02:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 02:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.11%E -5.52%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.08%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -5.97%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.34%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 02:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.26%EV -13.11%E -9.43%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.84%EV -15.20%E -3.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.89%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.67%EV -6.86%E -4.61%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.82%E -3.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-07 02:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -23.06%E -5.24%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.34% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 02:32 |
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