Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Portland Timbers v Puebla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 02:41 UTC

Score final : Portland Timbers 5–2 Puebla

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Portland Timbers (Local)

Prévision 62.51%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.36%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.50%62.29%62.53%63.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.491.501.5371.94%67.13%66.67%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Puebla (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.49%5.72cote équitable
EV +3.34%
Avantage +0.565%
Kelly +0.680%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 5.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.10%17.61%17.34%20.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.185.105.9122.73%19.31%19.61%16.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.01%5.00cote équitable
EV +0.032%
Avantage +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.94%20.10%20.12%21.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.584.605.0025.00%21.84%21.74%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Portland Timbers (Local) : 62.51% ; Puebla (Visiteur) : 17.49% ; Match nul : 20.01%. Pour Puebla (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.72. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.91, soit une espérance positive de +3.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.57%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.20%EV +3.34%E +0.565%K +0.680%G +0.023%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.23%EV -9.77%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 02:29
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 01:46
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 02:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:34
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 02:33
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 02:15
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.97%E -0.827%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 02:20
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 02:05
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.03%EV -7.85%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.88%EV -4.37%E -0.914%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 02:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.60%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.16%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 02:35
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 02:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 02:34
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.11%E -5.52%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.08%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -5.97%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:40
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.34%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 02:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:15
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.26%EV -13.11%E -9.43%K -33.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.84%EV -15.20%E -3.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.89%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-07 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.67%EV -6.86%E -4.61%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.82%E -3.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 02:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 02:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -23.06%E -5.24%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 02:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%2.0%2026-08-07 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%2.5%2026-08-07 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-08-07 02:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%4.1%2026-08-07 02:32