Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Timbers v Puebla

Início: 2026-08-07 02:41 UTC

Final: Portland Timbers 5–2 Puebla

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Timbers (Local)

Previsão 62.51%1.60odd justa
EV -4.36%
Vantagem -2.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.50%62.29%62.53%63.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.391.491.501.5371.94%67.13%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Puebla (Visitante)

Previsão 17.49%5.72odd justa
EV +3.34%
Vantagem +0.565%
Kelly +0.680%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.10%17.61%17.34%20.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.185.105.9122.73%19.31%19.61%16.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.01%5.00odd justa
EV +0.032%
Vantagem +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.94%20.10%20.12%21.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.584.605.0025.00%21.84%21.74%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Portland Timbers (Local): 62.51%; Puebla (Visitante): 17.49%; Empate: 20.01%. Para Puebla (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.72. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.91, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.57%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.20%EV +3.34%E +0.565%K +0.680%G +0.023%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.23%EV -9.77%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 02:29
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 01:46
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 02:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:34
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 02:33
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 02:15
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.97%E -0.827%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 02:20
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 02:05
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.03%EV -7.85%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.88%EV -4.37%E -0.914%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 02:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.60%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.16%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 02:35
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 02:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 02:34
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.11%E -5.52%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.08%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -5.97%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:40
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:35
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.34%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 02:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 02:15
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.26%EV -13.11%E -9.43%K -33.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.84%EV -15.20%E -3.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.89%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-07 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.67%EV -6.86%E -4.61%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.82%E -3.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 02:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 02:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -23.06%E -5.24%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 02:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%2.0%2026-08-07 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%2.5%2026-08-07 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-08-07 02:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%4.1%2026-08-07 02:32