Idioma:Español
Portland Timbers v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Timbers (Local)
Predicción 62.51%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.36%
Ventaja -2.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.50%62.29%62.53%63.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.491.501.5371.94%67.13%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 17.49%5.72momio equitativo
EV +3.34%
Ventaja +0.565%
Kelly +0.680%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.10%17.61%17.34%20.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.185.105.9122.73%19.31%19.61%16.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.01%5.00momio equitativo
EV +0.032%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.94%20.10%20.12%21.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.584.605.0025.00%21.84%21.74%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Timbers (Local): 62.51%; Puebla (Visitante): 17.49%; Empate: 20.01%. Para Puebla (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.72. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.91, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.57%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.20%EV +3.34%E +0.565%K +0.680%G +0.023% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.23%EV -9.77%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 02:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 01:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 02:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 02:33 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.97%E -0.827%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.36%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -0.968%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.03%EV -7.85%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.88%EV -4.37%E -0.914%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 02:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.60%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.16%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 02:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 02:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -9.36%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.11%E -5.52%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.08%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -5.97%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.82%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.34%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 02:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.97%E -4.99%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-07 02:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.26%EV -13.11%E -9.43%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.84%EV -15.20%E -3.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.89%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.67%EV -6.86%E -4.61%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.82%E -3.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.97%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-07 02:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -23.06%E -5.24%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.34% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 02:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 02:32 |